Sunday 24 February 2013

Sabermetrics

Today as I was doing some research into performance measures and talent identification and came across a statistical method used in baseball to help identify a players talent and contribution to their team called sabermetrics.

First developed in 1977 by Bill James, sabermetrics uses objective data collected in baseball to predict and answer objective questions (i.e. who will score the most runs for their team in the coming year) using formulas such as:-
  • Broc2 System; projects a players performance over the rest of his career
  • Major League Equivalency; predicts how a minor league player will perform in the major leagues
  • Range Factor; quantifies a players defensive contribution to their team
  • Secondary average; quantifies a players offensive contribution out side of runs scored

Using this information allows scouts to identify players that make a significant contribution to their team winning but would otherwise be considered not good enough due to a scouts subjective talent identification processes.

Sabermetrics was first used in baseball in 1990's by Billy Beane, General Manager of the Oakland Athletics where they successfully developed a baseball team that had one of the lowest paid playing rosters (40 million a year) but also continually won matches against teams with playing rosters 3 times their size (120 million a year).

With this in mind, is sabermetrics able to be adapted in a way that allows it to be used as a tool for talent identification and  developing ways to construct a winning team in sports such as Rugby League and Football (soccer)? If so has it been done before and with what teams?